Malta vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
<0%
+1
2.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
16.5%
80.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
22.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.3%
-1
27.3%
0-2
22.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.2%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
LBY
0 - 0
MLT
59%
19%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
MLT
0 - 1
LBY
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
MLT
1 - 2
SWE
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
MLT
0 - 0
CAN
49%
21%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
MLT
2 - 0
CAN
46%
21%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
GRC
2 - 2
BRD
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
SUI
1 - 2
BRD
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1974 |
NED
1 - 2
BRD
46%
24%
30%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
POL
0 - 1
BRD
52%
23%
25%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
4 - 2
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |