Malta vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1999 |
LBN
0 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MLT
2 - 3
IRL
14%
25%
60%
|
52 | 90 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MLT
96%
4%
1%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
YUG
4 - 1
MLT
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 95 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
MLT
1 - 2
ISL
19%
26%
55%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1999 |
LBN
0 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
IRQ
4 - 0
LBN
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
LBN
1 - 1
OMA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
JOR
1 - 3
LBN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
LBN
0 - 2
SCG
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |