ASEAN Championship Final
Global 3-4
Malaysia vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
MAS
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
VIE
2 - 4
MAS
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAS
1 - 2
VIE
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SGP
1 - 3
MAS
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 3
THA
8%
15%
78%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
MAS
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
THA
3 - 0
PHL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PHL
0 - 0
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
MMR
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 3
THA
8%
15%
78%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |