Malaysia vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AFG
1 - 2
MAS
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
MAS
0 - 1
SGP
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VIE
1 - 0
MAS
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MAS
2 - 2
VIE
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
THA
2 - 2
MAS
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
KWT
1 - 0
NPL
88%
10%
2%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
KWT
0 - 0
NPL
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
YEM
2 - 1
NPL
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
NPL
0 - 0
PHL
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TJK
3 - 0
NPL
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |