North Macedonia vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MKD
2 - 1
MLT
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 3
AZE
71%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 1
FIN
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KSA
1 - 0
MKD
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
GER
3 - 3
UKR
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
2 - 0
UKR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UKR
0 - 0
SCO
48%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
0 - 5
UKR
17%
24%
60%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
3 - 0
UKR
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |