North Macedonia vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MKD
1 - 1
ENG
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
5 - 2
MKD
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 1
ARM
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UKR
2 - 0
MKD
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 2
MKD
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CZE
3 - 0
MDA
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MDA
1 - 1
ALB
15%
23%
63%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 1
MDA
46%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |