North Macedonia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
EST
2 - 4
MKD
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
MKD
0 - 1
CRO
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 0
UKR
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 0
BIH
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
MKD
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ARM
1 - 0
TKM
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
GEO
0 - 2
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
KAZ
5 - 4
ARM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |