WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-13
Macao vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
6 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
TWN
7 - 2
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 1
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
31 | 74 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
MNG
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
6 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
THA
0 - 4
AUS
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
THA
2 - 0
OMA
32%
24%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
IRQ
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |