Macao vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 1
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
HKG
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
KGZ
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
PAK
2 - 2
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 0
MNG
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
MNG
4 - 1
GUM
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
6 - 0
MNG
91%
7%
2%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
6 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
MDV
12 - 0
MNG
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |