Macao vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
82.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
3 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
5%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
41 | 86 | 45 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 1
HKG
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
JPN
3 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
1 - 1
IRQ
23%
23%
53%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
LBN
0 - 0
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
JPN
4 - 1
IRQ
45%
23%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |