WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 1-4
Macao vs Camboya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
KHM
3 - 0
MAC
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 2
MNG
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Camboya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
KHM
3 - 0
MAC
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
SGP
4 - 2
KHM
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
KHM
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
KHM
1 - 0
BRN
49%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
KHM
0 - 1
MMR
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |