Macao vs Bután analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
MMR
22%
18%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SGP
1 - 0
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
LKA
3 - 0
MAC
45%
21%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
LKA
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNP
1 - 1
MAC
5%
13%
83%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BGD
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 4
LBN
5%
19%
76%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
MDV
2 - 0
BTN
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 1
BTN
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 2
LAO
43%
21%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |