Luxembourg vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
BEL
5 - 0
LUX
85%
11%
5%
|
42 | 84 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
LUX
1 - 1
SWE
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 84 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1979 |
SWE
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
LUX
0 - 3
CSK
12%
23%
65%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
YUG
2 - 1
URU
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 0
URU
62%
23%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
ITA
1 - 0
URU
79%
16%
5%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1979 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |