Luxembourg vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
LUX
0 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
GRC
1 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
LUX
0 - 4
ENG
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 93 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
DEN
6 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
HUN
6 - 2
LUX
93%
5%
2%
|
39 | 89 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
TUR
1 - 2
ITA
19%
28%
54%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
TUR
3 - 1
AUT
23%
29%
48%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1983 |
BRD
5 - 1
TUR
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
TUR
1 - 0
NIR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 1
TUR
46%
24%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |