Luxembourg vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1979 |
SWE
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
LUX
0 - 3
CSK
12%
23%
65%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
FRA
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 1
SWE
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SWE
1 - 3
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1979 |
NOR
2 - 0
SWE
15%
22%
63%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1979 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |