Luxembourg vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1953 |
FRA
8 - 0
LUX
76%
13%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUX
85%
10%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
LUX
5 - 3
GBR
47%
21%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
1 - 0
IRL
64%
17%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
3 - 5
FRA
42%
20%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1953 |
IRL
4 - 0
AUT
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
IRL
1 - 1
FRA
39%
20%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |