Luxembourg vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
81.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
19.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.4%
0-3
14.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
17.2%
0-4
8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SVK
0 - 0
LUX
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 0
BGR
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
2 - 2
HUN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUX
1 - 0
LTU
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 3
LUX
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
LIE
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 27 | 66 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
POR
6 - 1
SUI
66%
19%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
URU
59%
21%
20%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |