Luxembourg vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
76.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
SRB
3 - 2
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DEN
4 - 0
LUX
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
88%
10%
3%
|
53 | 92 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
LUX
1 - 3
SRB
14%
25%
62%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
NIR
1 - 0
LUX
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
POR
6 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
92 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
UKR
2 - 1
POR
24%
26%
51%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
88%
10%
3%
|
92 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 5
POR
7%
20%
73%
|
92 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SRB
2 - 4
POR
26%
26%
49%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |