Luxembourg vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
71.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
LUX
0 - 2
BEL
14%
24%
62%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
LUX
0 - 1
WAL
15%
24%
61%
|
36 | 85 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
13%
19%
69%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
LUX
1 - 2
ISL
40%
28%
33%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
68%
22%
10%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
POR
5 - 0
MLT
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1991 |
MLT
0 - 1
POR
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1991 |
GRC
3 - 2
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |