Luxembourg vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
72.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
MLT
0 - 1
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
ISR
4 - 2
LUX
89%
8%
2%
|
36 | 79 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
NED
5 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 94 | 58 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
BLR
2 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
LUX
0 - 4
NED
13%
23%
64%
|
36 | 94 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
CYP
0 - 2
NOR
18%
24%
59%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1995 |
NOR
7 - 0
EST
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
MLT
0 - 1
NOR
16%
24%
61%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BLR
0 - 4
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 1
NED
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |