Luxembourg vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 2
USA
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 5
YUG
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 2
MMR
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 1
JPN
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
LUX
1 - 0
THA
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1980 |
CSK
1 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
23%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
ITA
0 - 0
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
ENG
0 - 1
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |