Luxembourg vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FIN
7 - 1
LUX
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ISL
3 - 1
LUX
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
HUN
8 - 1
LUX
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 89 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
AUT
6 - 2
LUX
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
LUX
1 - 3
WAL
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
ITA
3 - 0
YUG
63%
22%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
DEN
0 - 1
ITA
27%
28%
46%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ITA
4 - 2
ROU
75%
18%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1976 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
ENG
3 - 2
ITA
62%
22%
16%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |