Luxembourg vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
CSK
6 - 0
LUX
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
LUX
0 - 8
NED
27%
22%
52%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUX
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
YUG
0 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
3%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
AUT
2 - 0
LUX
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ITA
3 - 1
YUG
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1972 |
ROU
3 - 3
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 1
ITA
32%
28%
41%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ITA
0 - 0
BEL
80%
13%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |