Luxembourg vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NIR
1 - 1
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 80 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
POR
6%
19%
75%
|
39 | 94 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
GEO
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUX
0 - 2
MLT
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -3 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LUX
2 - 1
MKD
11%
21%
67%
|
40 | 80 | 40 | +2 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ISR
0 - 4
RUS
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 1
ISR
18%
26%
57%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
HUN
1 - 1
ISR
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
ISR
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CZE
2 - 1
ISR
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |