Luxembourg vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
SUI
2 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 88 | 53 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 3
POR
10%
20%
71%
|
36 | 86 | 50 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 5
BEL
15%
24%
62%
|
36 | 87 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1989 |
CSK
4 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
ISL
2 - 1
TUR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
ISL
0 - 3
DDR
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
AUT
2 - 1
ISL
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ISL
0 - 0
AUT
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
SUN
1 - 1
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
62 | 93 | 31 | +1 |