Luxembourg vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
23.8%
65.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POL
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 88 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
GER
7 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 95 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
LUX
0 - 2
CMR
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 78 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
CYP
2 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
LUX
1 - 3
CYP
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ENG
0 - 0
BGR
71%
19%
10%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
SWE
2 - 1
ENG
36%
28%
36%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 2
ENG
36%
27%
37%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1998 |
COL
0 - 2
ENG
16%
25%
59%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
2 - 1
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |