Luxembourg vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1924 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
NED
3 - 0
LUX
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1914 |
LUX
5 - 4
FRA
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1913 |
FRA
8 - 0
LUX
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
LUX
1 - 4
FRA
56%
20%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1927 |
BEL
1 - 9
ENG
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
SCO
1 - 2
ENG
46%
23%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
WAL
3 - 3
ENG
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1926 |
ENG
3 - 3
NIR
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1926 |
BEL
3 - 5
ENG
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |