Luxembourg vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
LUX
2 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
LUX
0 - 2
CAN
39%
21%
40%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SUI
1 - 0
LUX
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
LUX
0 - 1
SUI
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ITA
5 - 0
LUX
95%
4%
1%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1974 |
HUN
3 - 2
YUG
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRD
5 - 0
HUN
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
HUN
3 - 1
BGR
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1973 |
HUN
0 - 1
DDR
76%
15%
8%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |