EC Qualifying Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Luxembourg vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
4.1%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
33.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
LUX
73%
14%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUX
1 - 3
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUX
4 - 2
POR
50%
20%
30%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
ENG
4 - 1
LUX
90%
6%
3%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
POR
6 - 0
LUX
70%
15%
15%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
LUX
73%
14%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
BRA
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
50%
21%
28%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SUI
1 - 1
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |