Luxembourg vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
47.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1946 |
BEL
7 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
LUX
4 - 1
BEL
52%
20%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NED
4 - 5
LUX
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NED
4 - 5
LUX
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
44%
21%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |