Luxembourg vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
ITA
1 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 91 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
YUG
5 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 88 | 48 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUX
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 88 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
LUX
1 - 2
DEN
26%
28%
47%
|
40 | 78 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
LUX
0 - 2
GRC
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
NED
1 - 0
GRC
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
CSK
2 - 1
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
GRC
0 - 2
SUN
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
GRC
0 - 1
DDR
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |