Luxembourg vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
13%
19%
69%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
LUX
1 - 2
ISL
40%
28%
33%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
SUI
2 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 88 | 53 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 3
POR
10%
20%
71%
|
35 | 86 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
WAL
3 - 1
BEL
39%
30%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1990 |
DEN
1 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
WAL
1 - 0
CRC
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
SWE
4 - 2
WAL
67%
22%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 0
WAL
58%
25%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |