Luxembourg vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
ITA
3 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 91 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
LUX
0 - 2
ENG
10%
20%
70%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
LUX
0 - 1
FIN
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1977 |
ENG
5 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
2%
|
43 | 91 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 2
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1978 |
FRA
3 - 1
HUN
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 1
FRA
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 0
TUN
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |