Luxembourg vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1950 |
NOR
2 - 2
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
LUX
2 - 3
SUI
44%
21%
35%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1949 |
SUI
5 - 2
LUX
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1949 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUX
84%
10%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
YUG
6 - 1
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
NED
4 - 4
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
DEN
1 - 0
FIN
87%
9%
5%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 2
FIN
91%
6%
3%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1951 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
44%
20%
36%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
30%
20%
50%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |