Luxembourg vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 7
HUN
28%
21%
52%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
LUX
3 - 2
NOR
38%
21%
41%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 6
NED
32%
21%
48%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1946 |
BEL
7 - 0
LUX
68%
16%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
LUX
4 - 1
BEL
52%
20%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1946 |
SCO
0 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
9%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1946 |
SCO
3 - 1
SUI
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |