EC Qualifying Etapas finales Semi-finals
Global 5-5
Luxembourg vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
46.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
LUX
2 - 1
NED
48%
19%
34%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
LUX
73%
14%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUX
1 - 3
SUN
39%
22%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUX
4 - 2
POR
50%
20%
30%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
ENG
4 - 1
LUX
90%
6%
3%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 1
DEN
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
ALB
1 - 0
DEN
38%
23%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
38%
22%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
NOR
0 - 4
DEN
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |