Luxembourg vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1985 |
DDR
3 - 1
LUX
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 1
YUG
9%
17%
74%
|
37 | 88 | 51 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 0
ISL
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
YUG
1 - 0
LUX
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1984 |
TUR
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
NED
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 1
YUG
34%
26%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 0
FRA
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
BRD
4 - 1
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |