Luxembourg vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
WAL
5 - 1
LUX
82%
14%
5%
|
36 | 86 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 0
FRO
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
LUX
1 - 2
AZE
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUX
1 - 1
ISL
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
37 | 91 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
BIH
1 - 1
QAT
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
GER
3 - 1
BIH
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SWE
4 - 2
BIH
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BIH
2 - 1
GHA
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 1
POR
6%
15%
80%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |