Luxembourg vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
71.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ROU
4 - 0
LUX
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 92 | 54 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
LUX
1 - 1
MLT
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 2
DEN
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 95 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
HUN
5 - 1
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 92 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 0
NOR
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ROU
2 - 0
BIH
90%
8%
3%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
DEN
0 - 2
BIH
92%
6%
2%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BIH
2 - 0
LUX
86%
10%
3%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
WAL
2 - 2
BIH
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |