Luxembourg vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
24%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
62.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LUX
0 - 3
ENG
11%
24%
65%
|
39 | 97 | 58 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POL
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 88 | 48 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
GER
7 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 95 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
LUX
0 - 2
CMR
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 78 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
CYP
2 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 1
KOR
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 2
MEX
53%
24%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1998 |
NED
0 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
14%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
COL
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |