Luxembourg vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NED
4 - 5
LUX
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
LUX
2 - 3
BEL
48%
20%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LUX
0 - 6
HUN
26%
20%
54%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 1
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
POL
3 - 3
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FRA
47%
20%
33%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |