Luxembourg vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
LUX
1 - 2
ISL
40%
28%
33%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
SUI
2 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 88 | 53 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 3
POR
10%
20%
71%
|
35 | 86 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1989 |
LUX
0 - 5
BEL
15%
24%
62%
|
35 | 88 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 3
GER
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
POR
1 - 1
GER
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
GER
1 - 0
CSK
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
GER
3 - 3
URU
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |