Luxembourg vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
LUX
2 - 3
BEL
48%
20%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LUX
0 - 6
HUN
26%
20%
54%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
81%
11%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LUX
2 - 3
GER
29%
21%
50%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
GER
3 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 4
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |