Luxembourg vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
GER
7 - 2
LUX
84%
10%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
GER
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1936 |
LUX
1 - 5
NED
32%
21%
47%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
52%
20%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
GER
4 - 0
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
GER
2 - 2
NED
63%
17%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
IRL
5 - 2
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
NED
5 - 2
GER
51%
21%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |