Luxembourg vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
49.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
52%
20%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 9
GER
35%
22%
42%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1928 |
LUX
1 - 1
EGY
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1928 |
LUX
3 - 5
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1927 |
LUX
2 - 5
ENG
26%
22%
52%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
3 - 1
GER
64%
17%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1935 |
NOR
1 - 1
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
GER
2 - 1
CSK
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |