Luxembourg vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1928 |
LUX
1 - 1
EGY
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1928 |
LUX
3 - 5
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1927 |
LUX
2 - 5
ENG
26%
22%
52%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1924 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
NED
3 - 0
LUX
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 2
GER
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
GER
3 - 3
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |