Luxembourg vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LUX
1 - 3
FRA
6%
18%
76%
|
41 | 94 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NED
5%
15%
80%
|
41 | 92 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 4
KVM
7%
14%
79%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
BLR
1 - 1
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 1
SWE
11%
23%
66%
|
41 | 88 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 2
BFA
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
CPV
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
LBY
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
CPV
9%
17%
75%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CPV
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |