Luxembourg vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 7
ROU
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 93 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 94 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 5
ISR
12%
23%
64%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 2
MAR
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LUX
3 - 3
LIE
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CPV
0 - 1
KEN
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
MTN
0 - 2
CPV
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
CPV
1 - 1
GAM
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2001 |
CPV
1 - 5
SEN
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
TKM
0 - 1
CPV
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |