Lithuania vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 1
LTU
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
RUS
4 - 3
LTU
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 0
LTU
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ISR
2 - 1
LTU
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 3
SCG
13%
21%
67%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
5 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 2
SMR
32%
23%
46%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 5
HUN
3%
12%
85%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |