Lithuania vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
ISL
0 - 0
LTU
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
LIE
0 - 2
LTU
10%
18%
73%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
LTU
0 - 1
ROU
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
LTU
4 - 0
IDN
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
BRA
3 - 1
LTU
97%
3%
1%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
EST
4 - 1
AND
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
EST
2 - 3
SWE
6%
18%
76%
|
57 | 93 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1997 |
EST
1 - 0
AZE
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
EST
1 - 3
LVA
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
AUT
2 - 0
EST
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |